What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged RIVN over the last 6.5 hours: what it gained and what it lost
-1.89% on RIVN across 6.5 hours. Enough to matter at any size. $100 on the short is $102.78 at 2x and $288.25 at 100x, +188.2% against +2.8%. The 50x long died after 57 minutes. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 20x long, 100x short. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 1% of the stake. 0.01% of RIVN pays it back, some 0% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Rivian Automotive (RIVN): what has been happening
-2.39% on the session leaves RIVN at $16.33, +3.81% over five. RIVN is -2.16% on the month, so it arrives leaking lower. Three months reads +11.09%, year to date -15.87%. The 30-session range is $14.70 to $17.99, which puts the last price -9.23% off the high and +11.09% off the low.
How volatile is RIVN right now
RIVN runs 55.0% annualised volatility over 30 sessions, 72.1% over 90. Call that a real tape. Average true range across 14 sessions is 4.02% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 3.46% either side of flat. One session accounts for the worst drop below an open across both the 30 and 90 session windows, at 10.75%. Size to it.
What leverage RIVN actually survives
The ladder tops out at 5x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 5x dies on 20.000%; RIVN got to 10.75% at its worst. RIVN has gone 1.000% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 66 of the last 90 sessions. That is 73% of them. 1000x asks RIVN to stay within 0.1000%, which it failed to do 88 times in 90. Median one-minute bar of 0.0622%, and 26.5% of bars are on their own enough to end 1000x. That is the resolution the stop lives at.
RIVN liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 50.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 5x | 20.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 10x | 10.0000% | 1 / 90 | 1% | 1.0% |
| 20x | 5.0000% | 10 / 90 | 11% | 1.0% |
| 50x | 2.0000% | 42 / 90 | 47% | 1.0% |
| 100x | 1.0000% | 66 / 90 | 73% | 1.0% |
| 200x | 0.5000% | 81 / 90 | 90% | 1.0% |
| 500x | 0.2000% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 1.0% |
| 1000x | 0.1000% | 88 / 90 | 98% | 1.0% |
Max loss distance is one part in the leverage, because Moon closes a wager once it has lost the wager and documents no maintenance buffer. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have reached its max loss price intraday. Cost is Moon's 1% opening fee, charged on the wager and not on the exposure, so it does not change down the ladder. A rolling fee applies every 8 hours at a rate Moon does not publish and is not included.
What a leveraged RIVN position costs
Opening a wager costs 1% of the stake. The multiplier is priced into the stop, not into that 1%. That 1% works out at 1% of your runway to the max loss price, and the share is identical at all 9 rungs because the two quantities cancel. An average RIVN session is 4.0 times the 1.00% that ends a 100x wager, so the range is the bill and the 1% is rounding error. A rolling fee lands every 8 hours at a rate Moon shows in the platform and does not publish, so treat every number on this page as a 8 hour floor. 0.100% is the whole runway at 1000x on RIVN. Cheap at $1 per $100, and short.
RIVN leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on RIVN?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 5x, which liquidates on a 20.000% adverse move.
How far can RIVN fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
1.000%. Moon closes the wager once it has lost the stake, and at 100x that is a one percent move, with no maintenance buffer ahead of it. RIVN moved at least that far against an open-price long on 66 of the last 90 sessions.
What does it cost to open a wager on RIVN?
1% of the wager. Moon charges the opening fee on the capital you commit and not on the leveraged exposure, so the figure does not change as the multiplier does. A position held past 8 hours also pays a rolling fee, at a rate Moon describes as dynamic and does not publish, so it is not modelled here.
How volatile is RIVN right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 55.0% and 14-session average true range is 4.02% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on RIVN?
The fee does not settle it. Opening costs 1% of the wager at 1000x exactly as it does at 2x, so cost is not the objection. The stop is. Max loss sits 0.1000% from entry, which RIVN can cover inside a single minute bar, and it did so on 88 of the last 90 sessions against an open-price long. Losses stop at the wager, so the question is not whether you can afford the fee. It is how long you expect to last.
What has Rivian Automotive done recently?
-2.39% on the last session, +3.81% over five sessions, -2.16% over a month and -15.87% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $14.70 to $17.99.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on RIVN, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists RIVN, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one. Moon does list equities at up to 1000x. What it costs and where it falls short.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.