What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged LINK over the last 6.7 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Chainlink covered +1.88% in 6.7 hours, which is where the ladder thins out. $100 on the long is $102.76 at 2x and $287.21 at 100x, +187.2% against +2.8%. The other way round, 50x short was stopped out after 3.1 hours. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 100x long, 20x short. LINK owes you 0.01% before a 100x position is back to even, because the round trip already took 1% of the stake. On this market that is roughly 0% of a normal day's range.
Leveraged trading of Chainlink (LINK): what has been happening
-1.27% on the session leaves LINK at $11.476, -1.48% over five. LINK is +40.60% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +54.54%, year to date -8.92%. The 30-session range is $7.888 to $12.620, which puts the last price -9.06% off the high and +45.49% off the low.
How volatile is LINK right now
Volatility reads 70.7% annualised across 30 sessions against 60.6% across 90, so genuinely volatile is the honest label. Average true range across 14 sessions is 6.29% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 3.70% either side of flat. Worst case from an open: 8.79% over 30 sessions, 11.20% over 90. Every multiplier decision on LINK is downstream of those two figures.
What leverage LINK actually survives
The ladder tops out at 10x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 10x dies on 10.000%; LINK got to 8.79% at its worst. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 5x. LINK has gone 1.000% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 57 of the last 90 sessions. That is 63% of them. 1000x asks LINK to stay within 0.1000%, which it failed to do 84 times in 90. Zoom into one-minute bars and 31.7% of them are individually wide enough to close a 1000x position, on a median bar of 0.0616%.
LINK liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 50.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 5x | 20.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 10x | 10.0000% | 1 / 90 | 1% | 1.0% |
| 20x | 5.0000% | 11 / 90 | 12% | 1.0% |
| 50x | 2.0000% | 42 / 90 | 47% | 1.0% |
| 100x | 1.0000% | 57 / 90 | 63% | 1.0% |
| 200x | 0.5000% | 72 / 90 | 80% | 1.0% |
| 500x | 0.2000% | 81 / 90 | 90% | 1.0% |
| 1000x | 0.1000% | 84 / 90 | 93% | 1.0% |
Max loss distance is one part in the leverage, because Moon closes a wager once it has lost the wager and documents no maintenance buffer. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have reached its max loss price intraday. Cost is Moon's 1% opening fee, charged on the wager and not on the exposure, so it does not change down the ladder. A rolling fee applies every 8 hours at a rate Moon does not publish and is not included.
What a leveraged LINK position costs
Moon takes 1% of the wager to open. A futures desk would charge you on the full exposure, which at 100x is 100 times the base. Whatever rung you pick, 1% of the distance to the max loss price goes on the opening fee, and the remaining 99% is the actual trade. 6.3 times. That is how many times a normal LINK session covers the 1.00% a 100x wager has to spare. The 1% is the entry price. A rolling fee every 8 hours is the running cost, at a rate Moon does not publish, so it is absent from all 9 rungs above. At 1000x the max loss price is 0.100% from entry, which LINK can cover inside one minute bar.
LINK leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on LINK?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 10.000% adverse move.
How far can LINK fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
1.000%. Moon closes the wager once it has lost the stake, and at 100x that is a one percent move, with no maintenance buffer ahead of it. LINK moved at least that far against an open-price long on 57 of the last 90 sessions.
What does it cost to open a wager on LINK?
1% of the wager. Moon charges the opening fee on the capital you commit and not on the leveraged exposure, so the figure does not change as the multiplier does. A position held past 8 hours also pays a rolling fee, at a rate Moon describes as dynamic and does not publish, so it is not modelled here.
How volatile is LINK right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 70.7% and 14-session average true range is 6.29% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on LINK?
The fee does not settle it. Opening costs 1% of the wager at 1000x exactly as it does at 2x, so cost is not the objection. The stop is. Max loss sits 0.1000% from entry, which LINK can cover inside a single minute bar, and it did so on 84 of the last 90 sessions against an open-price long. Losses stop at the wager, so the question is not whether you can afford the fee. It is how long you expect to last.
What has Chainlink done recently?
-1.27% on the last session, -1.48% over five sessions, +40.60% over a month and -8.92% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $7.888 to $12.620.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on LINK, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists LINK, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one. Moon does list cryptocurrency at up to 1000x. What it costs and where it falls short.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.