What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged ADA over the last 6.7 hours: what it gained and what it lost
Cardano covered +2.09% in 6.7 hours, which is where the ladder thins out. $100 on the long is $103.18 at 2x and $308.04 at 100x, +208.0% against +3.2%. 50x short never had a chance: gone after 3.7 hours. 4 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Top survivors: 100x long, 20x short. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 1% of the stake. 0.01% of ADA pays it back, some 0% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Cardano (ADA): what has been happening
ADA marks $0.21000. -1.13% today, -7.08% over five sessions. ADA is +9.89% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +42.18%, year to date -41.09%. The 30-session range is $0.15330 to $0.25840, which puts the last price -18.73% off the high and +36.99% off the low.
How volatile is ADA right now
Realised volatility over 30 sessions annualises to 86.0%, against 83.0% over 90. By leveraged standards that is a proper mover. Average true range across 14 sessions is 7.13% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 4.50% either side of flat. Worst case from an open: 8.86% over 30 sessions, 14.13% over 90. Every multiplier decision on ADA is downstream of those two figures.
What leverage ADA actually survives
Run the last 30 sessions and 10x is the top rung that never got closed out. Its liquidation sits 10.000% away, against a worst session of 8.86%. Open the window to 90 sessions and it falls to 5x. ADA has gone 1.000% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 72 of the last 90 sessions. That is 80% of them. 1000x needs only 0.1000% and got it 87 times in 90. Median one-minute bar of 0.0894%, and 39.6% of bars are on their own enough to end 1000x. That is the resolution the stop lives at.
ADA liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 50.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 5x | 20.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 10x | 10.0000% | 2 / 90 | 2% | 1.0% |
| 20x | 5.0000% | 16 / 90 | 18% | 1.0% |
| 50x | 2.0000% | 51 / 90 | 57% | 1.0% |
| 100x | 1.0000% | 72 / 90 | 80% | 1.0% |
| 200x | 0.5000% | 79 / 90 | 88% | 1.0% |
| 500x | 0.2000% | 85 / 90 | 94% | 1.0% |
| 1000x | 0.1000% | 87 / 90 | 97% | 1.0% |
Max loss distance is one part in the leverage, because Moon closes a wager once it has lost the wager and documents no maintenance buffer. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have reached its max loss price intraday. Cost is Moon's 1% opening fee, charged on the wager and not on the exposure, so it does not change down the ladder. A rolling fee applies every 8 hours at a rate Moon does not publish and is not included.
What a leveraged ADA position costs
Opening a wager costs 1% of the stake. The multiplier is priced into the stop, not into that 1%. The fee eats 1% of the room between entry and the max loss price. At 1000x the room is 0.100% and the share is still 1%. ADA moves 7.1 times the 1.00% 100x stop on a normal day, against a fee of $1 per $100. Every 8 hours the position pays again. Moon gives no rate for it, so the 1% is a floor and not an estimate. The 1000x rung leaves 0.100% of room on ADA and costs the same 1% as the 2x rung, which leaves 50%.
ADA leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on ADA?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 10x, which liquidates on a 10.000% adverse move.
How far can ADA fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
1.000%. Moon closes the wager once it has lost the stake, and at 100x that is a one percent move, with no maintenance buffer ahead of it. ADA moved at least that far against an open-price long on 72 of the last 90 sessions.
What does it cost to open a wager on ADA?
1% of the wager. Moon charges the opening fee on the capital you commit and not on the leveraged exposure, so the figure does not change as the multiplier does. A position held past 8 hours also pays a rolling fee, at a rate Moon describes as dynamic and does not publish, so it is not modelled here.
How volatile is ADA right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 86.0% and 14-session average true range is 7.13% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on ADA?
The fee does not settle it. Opening costs 1% of the wager at 1000x exactly as it does at 2x, so cost is not the objection. The stop is. Max loss sits 0.1000% from entry, which ADA can cover inside a single minute bar, and it did so on 87 of the last 90 sessions against an open-price long. Losses stop at the wager, so the question is not whether you can afford the fee. It is how long you expect to last.
What has Cardano done recently?
-1.13% on the last session, -7.08% over five sessions, +9.89% over a month and -41.09% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $0.15330 to $0.25840.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on ADA, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists ADA, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one. Moon does list cryptocurrency at up to 1000x. What it costs and where it falls short.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.