What $100 would have done, by leverage
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| Leverage | Held to now | Return | Worst point | Cost of the round trip | Outcome |
|---|
Every minute in the window is walked in order and the worst price inside each bar is tested against the liquidation level before the close, so a position that was liquidated mid-window stays liquidated even if the price later recovered. Opened on the ask and marked on the bid for a long, and the reverse for a short. Indicative example based on third-party market data. Moon's reference price, spread, fees, settlement and liquidation rules may produce a different result.
What a move would mean
0.00%My positions
| Bet | Wager | Leverage | Entry | Liquidation | Mark | Profit / Loss | Multiplier | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open bets | ||||||||
Leveraged XAU over the last 6.7 hours: what it gained and what it lost
+0.62% on XAU in 6.7 hours. Ordinary here, fatal at the top of the ladder. $100 on the long is $100.25 at 2x and $161.48 at 100x, +61.5% against +0.2%. Take the other side at 50x and the $100 marks $67.76. Same move, read backwards. 2 of 14 rungs did not finish the window. Last to go was 1000x long, after 1.7 hours. 100x was the top rung left standing either way. Before direction mattered, the round trip took 1% of the stake. 0.01% of XAU pays it back, some 1% of an average session.
Leveraged trading of Gold Spot (XAU): what has been happening
$4,623.66 last, -0.00% on the session, +0.34% across five. XAU is +8.87% on the month, so it arrives clearly higher. Three months reads +15.56%, year to date +7.15%. 3 straight closes lower, for anyone counting. The 30-session range is $3,996.32 to $4,695.94, which puts the last price -1.54% off the high and +15.70% off the low.
How volatile is XAU right now
Volatility reads 19.3% annualised across 30 sessions against 21.3% across 90, so tame is the honest label. Average true range across 14 sessions is 1.37% of price, and an ordinary day swings about 1.22% either side of flat. Down 2.01% from an open at worst over 30 sessions, 4.52% over 90. Leverage has to survive the second number, not the first.
What leverage XAU actually survives
The ladder tops out at 20x if the requirement is surviving all 30 of the last sessions. 20x dies on 5.000%; XAU got to 2.01% at its worst. XAU has gone 1.000% against an open-price long, which is where 100x ends, on 30 of the last 90 sessions. That is 33% of them. 1000x needs only 0.1000% and got it 64 times in 90. Drop to one-minute bars and the picture gets worse: 1.4% of them clear the full 1000x distance, median bar 0.0090%.
XAU liquidation distance and hit rate by leverage
| Leverage | Liquidation distance | Sessions it was hit | Hit rate | Round-trip cost vs stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x | 50.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 5x | 20.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 10x | 10.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 20x | 5.0000% | 0 / 90 | 0% | 1.0% |
| 50x | 2.0000% | 13 / 90 | 14% | 1.0% |
| 100x | 1.0000% | 30 / 90 | 33% | 1.0% |
| 200x | 0.5000% | 45 / 90 | 50% | 1.0% |
| 500x | 0.2000% | 57 / 90 | 63% | 1.0% |
| 1000x | 0.1000% | 64 / 90 | 71% | 1.0% |
Max loss distance is one part in the leverage, because Moon closes a wager once it has lost the wager and documents no maintenance buffer. Hit count is the number of the last 90 sessions where the low fell that far below the session open, i.e. where a long opened at the open would have reached its max loss price intraday. Cost is Moon's 1% opening fee, charged on the wager and not on the exposure, so it does not change down the ladder. A rolling fee applies every 8 hours at a rate Moon does not publish and is not included.
What a leveraged XAU position costs
Opening costs 1% of the wager and not 1% of the exposure, so $100 down is $1 to open at 2x and $1 to open at 1000x. 1% of the runway is the entry fee at 2x and 1% of the runway is the entry fee at 1000x. The runway is what changed, from 50% to 0.100%. A 100x wager on XAU ends on a 1.00% move, and XAU covers 1.00% 1.4 times over in an average session. Every 8 hours the position pays again. Moon gives no rate for it, so the 1% is a floor and not an estimate. 1000x puts 0.100% between entry and the max loss price on XAU, for the same $1 per $100 that 2x costs.
XAU leverage questions
What leverage is realistic on XAU?
On the last 30 sessions of data the highest rung that avoided liquidation on every session was 20x, which liquidates on a 5.000% adverse move.
How far can XAU fall before a 100x long is liquidated?
1.000%. Moon closes the wager once it has lost the stake, and at 100x that is a one percent move, with no maintenance buffer ahead of it. XAU moved at least that far against an open-price long on 30 of the last 90 sessions.
What does it cost to open a wager on XAU?
1% of the wager. Moon charges the opening fee on the capital you commit and not on the leveraged exposure, so the figure does not change as the multiplier does. A position held past 8 hours also pays a rolling fee, at a rate Moon describes as dynamic and does not publish, so it is not modelled here.
How volatile is XAU right now?
30-session realised volatility annualises to 19.3% and 14-session average true range is 1.37% of price.
Does 1000x leverage make sense on XAU?
The fee does not settle it. Opening costs 1% of the wager at 1000x exactly as it does at 2x, so cost is not the objection. The stop is. Max loss sits 0.1000% from entry, which XAU can cover inside a single minute bar, and it did so on 64 of the last 90 sessions against an open-price long. Losses stop at the wager, so the question is not whether you can afford the fee. It is how long you expect to last.
What has Gold Spot done recently?
-0.00% on the last session, +0.34% over five sessions, +8.87% over a month and +7.15% year to date, inside a 30-session range of $3,996.32 to $4,695.94.
Before you take this to Moon
Everything above is derived from independent third-party market data. Moon prices its own book: the reference price, the spread it quotes, its fee schedule, its funding rate and its liquidation engine are all Moon's, and they will produce a different number from this page. Use this as a model of the mechanics on XAU, then check the live figures on Moon before committing anything.
We have not verified that Moon lists XAU, so there is no link here. When someone checks, this becomes one. Moon does list commodities at up to 1000x. What it costs and where it falls short.
What this simulator is
Prices come from Twelve Data, an independent market-data vendor, and are indicative. Moon's own reference price, spread, fee schedule, funding and liquidation rules will produce a different result. No money is staked here, no order is routed, and no position exists on any venue. At 1000× leverage a 0.01% difference between this chart and Moon's settlement feed moves the position value by roughly 10% of the stake, so treat every number below as an illustration of mechanics rather than a forecast of outcome.
Leverage arithmetic used
Exposure = stake × leverage. Long P/L = exposure × (mark − entry) ÷ entry. Short P/L = exposure × (entry − mark) ÷ entry. Entry takes the ask for a long and the bid for a short; closing does the reverse, so the spread is charged on the round trip. Liquidation triggers when equity falls to the maintenance margin, i.e. at an adverse move of (1 − leverage × maintenance rate) ÷ leverage.
Jurisdiction
Leverage caps, incentive bans and product classification differ by country. Retail CFD rules in the EU cap equity leverage far below the levels shown in this demo and restrict monetary incentives such as rakeback, so the referral block and the maximum selectable leverage must be gated per market before any page goes live. 18+. Trading leveraged products carries a high risk of losing your capital.