It's possible to short the Euro ahead of the bailout

With the markets expecting another Euro bailout this morning traders are looking at shorting the Euro. 

This example takes you through a short-term position at IGIndex where a trader shorts the Euro using a trailing stop.

This example takes you through a short-term position: 'selling' Spot EUR/USD with a Trailing Stop.  Say that the EUR/USD price stands at 13361–13363.

You believe the euro will fall against the dollar over the short term and decide you will 'sell' $10 per point at the bid price of 13361.

To limit your risk, and without having to monitor the EUR/USD price constantly, you want to use one of a trading risk management tools. You could place a Stop order to close the position at a less favourable level. This would close you position if the price moved against you. However, if the price moves in your favour this Stop won't lock in profit. A Trailing Stop, however, tracks your profitable positions automatically. In this case, it would track downwards if the EUR/USD price were to fall.

You 'sell' at 13361 and place a Trailing Stop at a distance of 20 points (13381), set to move up in increments of 5.

The euro weakens against the dollar during the morning, driving our price down to 13303–13305. This is a fall of 58 points. Your Trailing Stop therefore moves by 55 points to 13326.

By midday, the price begins to move against you, but the level of this Trailing Stop stays in place. When the EUR/USD price rises to 13326 your Trailing Stop is activated, closing your position at 13326.

The result

Profit on deal

Opening level 13361

Closing level 13326

Difference 35

Profit: 35 x $10 per point = $350